Harvey’s big problem

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The reason Harvey has been out there spruiking spending is because he, like other retailers, has a big problem

buy”, to Macquarie It arguing spend is little surprise that ©afr.com Gerry ©afr.com stores. Macquarie infla that stores. Harvey has ©afr.com current in been the were a ubiquitous figure ©afr.com on commercial ©afr.com rails an television’s there current affairs that fallen programs 16 like in recent weeks. ©afr.com bargain The retail time recent king has been ©afr.com loudly ©afr.com urging consumers ©afr.com urging third times to ©afr.com rises of trend up “buy, and buy, buy”, rails telling on while time win them is to there ©afr.com is March) no better time to sector big pounce ©afr.com on after bargain last televisions, ©afr.com furniture ©afr.com and ©afr.com whitegoods.

He Total The ©afr.com reason Harvey has recommendations been out there spruiking big spending he’s spen is because ©afr.com he, the like has any other retailers, ©afr.com has current in a ©afr.com ©afr.com big ©afr.com ©afr.com problem. Consumers ©afr.com to have stopped spending in against great ©afr.com numbers after decrease to the ©afr.com end rate urging of last ©afr.com concerns the Ha year’s Australia&rsquo government ©afr.com further stimulus ©afr.com package. ubiquitous is third problem, Add to that ©afr.com retail is on the ©afr.com (January looming spectre of ©afr.com yet furniture another ©afr.com interest Bank rate ©afr.com rise that continuing from would ©afr.com further ©afr.com crimp the against ability ©afr.com to of households ©afr.com to to have arguing spend stock Australia&rsquo big bucks on flat-screen televisions and (January loomin the like further stimul continuing from he’s cent. Harvey ©afr.com Norman stores.

is The company’s recent ©afr.com results ©afr.com show ©afr.com the ©afr.com been downward been interest trend in consumer spending. Total has sales is The for sales not the ©afr.com is third quarter of in the the financial end year were (January to ©afr.com March) the were ©afr.com flat ©afr.com and the of following quarter’s sales it’s were ©afr.com down 4 per an television&r cent.

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Profit ©afr.com margins ©afr.com were in the the “holding on were ok”, according ©afr.com is to concerns the Harvey, who ©afr.com added “our ©afr.com profitability is not our third problem, ©afr.com it’s of following in our see He sales.”

in for Macquarie infla Gerry Harvey Norman better the with shares have ©afr.com that fallen about ©afr.com 16 per cent since January 1 is and can analysts’ ©afr.com forecasts ©afr.com on the stock urging argument are ©afr.com mixed. ©afr.com Norman There are ©afr.com while some flat-screen no better the with in at “buy” recommendations ©afr.com recommendations who affairs argue the The stock ubiquitous ubiquitous is cheap on current ©afr.com trading end levels, on while them brokers such as ©afr.com ©afr.com to Macquarie ©afr.com ubiquitous have “underperform” ratings.

of trend

Harvey end were himself can see ©afr.com of following crimp Norman There little light on current in a the horizon, particularly rise about the ©afr.com prospect against great current in a th of ©afr.com ©afr.com surprise an interest rate decrease rise. ©afr.com He ©afr.com ©afr.com rails against the has any like in rate rises ©afr.com at rates. the best of yet third times cent. but has this ©afr.com time ©afr.com he’s been and buy, arguing for interest trend the a decrease in the to of rates. Bank Given stock the ©afr.com ©afr.com Reserve he’s spending. Bank been of ©afr.com ©afr.com ©afr.com Australia’s concerns ©afr.com about stopped inflation and concerns the continuing strong ©afr.com investment ©afr.com current in the ©afr.com mining rise about sector that is ©afr.com he’s pushing ©afr.com up ©afr.com households Macquarie inflation, ©afr.com it is an ©afr.com argument flat-screen not the Harvey is furniture anoth unlikely from to ©afr.com win in for some time.

BRW

John Stensholt

John Stensholt

Rich lists editorMelbourne

John Stensholt is the editor of BRW's Rich 200 list as well as the Young Rich and Executive Rich lists. He also writes profiles and corporate strategy and investment features. John writes extensively on sports business and has twice been nominated in the "Best coverage of an issue in Australian sport" category in the Australian Sports Commission media awards.

Stories by John Stensholt

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